Tech stocks on the rise
US stock markets are surfing new highs as better-than-forecast results from technology giants are boosting gains across the sector. Although stronger economic growth in the US and globally has given rise to increased business confidence across the board, it’s estimated that a quarter of the S&P 500’s record-breaking return this year is down to a handful of over-performing tech stars.
The S&P 500’s gains put the index firmly on track to record its 104th month in a bull market. In fact, the price-to-earnings ratio of the US stock market hasn’t been this high since the dotcom bubble of the 1990s. And while there are no signs of an imminent crash, it’s a scenario that’s making some investors nervous.
Rising wealth hits new highs
The number of high net worth individuals – those with free assets of more than $1m – has grown exponentially, as booming stock markets in the US and Europe propelled more than a million people into the ranks of the super wealthy, bringing the current global count to a record 16.5 million.
According to a recent report by business consultancy Capgemini, the world’s high net worth individuals (HNWI) have collectively amassed an eye-watering fortune of $63.5 trillion. Last year alone, 1.1 million people joined this exclusive club – a rise of 8.2% – far outstripping the 6.5% annualised growth across the previous five years. Researchers predict that HNWI wealth is on track to exceed $100 trillion by 2025.
Are we on the cusp of a Bitcoin bubble?
What goes up must come down – or must it? Bitcoin’s recent stratospheric rise has helped push the value of crypto-currencies through the $50 billion-mark, triggering concerns over the creation of an unstable asset bubble in what is a largely unregulated market.
The rapid growth in alternative digital currencies — so-called ‘alt-coins’ — as well as in Bitcoin itself is without precedent; the value of Bitcoin alone has risen by more than 50% in a month and is currently worth more than gold. It’s an astonishing trajectory for a virtual, non-fiat currency.
Is the presidential honeymoon over?
It was one of Donald Trump’s most prominent pre-election pledges, so when the much-vaunted repeal of Obamacare failed to secure the support it needed in Congress, Wall Street signalled its disapproval via a massive share dump, bringing the stock market’s seemingly unstoppable rise to a screeching halt.
If the stellar performance of the S&P over the past few months demonstrated a level of confidence in the ability of the new president to deliver on his promises, this abrupt volte-face is a reflection of a more sombre mood. Tumbling US shares prefaced similar dips in Tokyo, Frankfurt, Paris and London as global markets wobbled over the prospect of the Trump administration’s ability to deliver on a raft of growth-boosting measures.
Rates on hold
The announcement by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to hold US interest rates steady in July came as no surprise to market analysts who had felt that the threat of economic uncertainty and the imminent presidential election would prevent the Federal Reserve from making any hasty decisions to hike the rate in the short term.
The race is on to be the new London
Following June’s momentous referendum result, the UK is on track to leave the European Union, sparking speculation that its capital city will see an exodus of banks looking to secure their trading position within Europe.
Large US banks, including Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs, employ many thousands of staff in the UK, using the country as a staging point to access member states in the bloc via a trading ‘passport’. However, now that Britain’s relationship with the rest of Europe is uncertain, a number of banks are looking to review their arrangements and preparing to shift operations – in part at least – to the continent.